Slightly increasing your chances of winning in the Mega Sena is possible, even though it is a game of luck. Please note that if you place a simple 6-bet, which costs $ 3.50, you will have the following odds of winning:
Seine - 1 out of 50,063,860
Quina - 1 out of 154,518
Block - 1 out of 2,332
Of course, we know that the only 100% guaranteed way to win the top prize at Mega Sena is by making all possible bets. To bet all odds with the 60 numbers available, you would spend 50,063,860 * $ 3.50, which gives the value of $ 175,223,510.00.
So if you happen to have this "humble" amount left in your account and want to invest it in these bets, it is important to know that there is still a risk of losing a lot of money, even if the prize for the winner is much higher than this amount. .
Making all possible bets costs over $ 175 million
For example, imagine that the prize is accumulated at $ 275,000,000.00 (two hundred seventy-five million). If you're the only one to hit the six dozen, great, you spent 175 and earned 275 million, so you pocketed $ 100 million overnight.
However, if anyone else gets the numbers right, you have to share the prize with them, which means that the $ 275 million could turn into $ 137.5 million (half), $ 91.6 million (one third) ) or even less depending on the number of hitters. So just one person who made a simple $ 3.50 bet would be lucky enough to hit you, leaving you with a millionaire loss.
How to improve the chances of winning?
Of course, in a universe of over 50 million possible outcomes, if we think a little and look at the statistics from previous contests, we can eliminate a few thousand (or even millions) of less likely outcomes.
For example, among the 6 numbers drawn, it is very difficult to get 6 even or 6 odd (this has only happened in 2% of contests to date). We can go a little further: in almost 80% of the contests came out at least 2 even or 2 odd. So imagine that you make the following game:
10 - 12 - 20 - 30 - 32 - 42
Your chance of winning with this game is negligible (see, it's not impossible, but it would be very rare, as there are 6 even numbers).
As in Mega-Sena there are 60 numbers (being 30 even and 30 odd), if we calculate all results involving only even numbers (ie a combination of 30 elements taken 6 to 6), we would have:
Calculation performed by mathematical solver
The same number would be valid for results involving only odd numbers. Adding up, we would have 593,775 + 593,775 = 1,187,550.
That is, by not playing all even or odd numbers, we would be eliminating over 1 million unlikely odds. Of course, within a universe of more than 50 million possibilities, it's very little, but it's better than nothing.
Going a little further, also discarding results that have 5 even and 1 odd, or 5 odd and 1 even, will also eliminate more than 8 million results that are less likely to occur. Then things start to get better, right?
In addition to odd and even quantities, in order to increase the odds, people often look for other patterns in previous contests, such as:
- most drawn numbers to date
- later numbers (not drawn for longer)
- number of numbers repeated from one competition to another
- among other statistics
Also, for helping with this analysis, our Mega-Sena simulator has been used by gamblers from all over Brazil. In addition to showing statistics, it allows the player to test their numbers to see if they have won any prizes in previous contests, as well as to present game suggestions.
Mega-Seine Math Simulator
By tracking the results and statistics we publish weekly, the gambler can identify how often the latest numbers appear, check for repeated numbers in a certain draw period, check which numbers are coming out most in the current year, etc.
Remembering that all these are just resources to help eliminate unlikely results, thus increasing the chances of winning a prize, although what you decide is really the gambler's luck. After all, Mega-Sena is a lottery with millions of possible outcomes!